🔗 Share this article

A mere eight weeks ago when Morgan Rogers stood on the Sunderland turf, seeming perplexed while his coach scolded him over not reading a pass in behind. Back then, as Villa went six without a win, doubts remained if Rogers' form were a symptom or the source of the side's broader struggles.

“Following Rogers' second strike… Emery discarded his jacket, extended his arms, and let out a triumphant roar.”

On Sunday, in contrast, the sideline response was entirely far more favourable. As the England international swept in his brace-sealing goal to reinstate the lead for Villa, the boss ripped off his coat, spread his arms and bellowed. The Birmingham club were on their way to a tenth straight victory , despite not winning their opening six matches, now sit only three points off table-toppers Arsenal.

Is Aston Villa Genuine Challengers?

It remains an exceptionally difficult proposition to address. History, the traditional standing of this institution, argues against it. Furthermore, they've rarely been entirely convincing during this run, while the wins have stacked up.

Per the data, in only two games has the side had an expected goals figure significantly higher than their opponents. For a side that have put together 10 in a row, Villa seem strangely fragile – yet right now the fine lines are swinging for them.

The Winning Formula

The current approach seems to be to trade blows with rivals and then rely on their talisman to bail them out with some precise efforts. This was the case away to Leeds, it occurred in London, and once more against Manchester United.

The initial strike came from an exquisite effort, arced right inside the goal frame from the edge of the area. For his second was essentially a slight scruffier version of goal number one as he pounced on a setup by his strike partner.

“Rogers’ right foot is now akin to Robben’s legendary left: forewarned does not mean forearmed, and stopping him is another matter entirely.”

How Long Can This Continue?

Logic says not. In the recent win, the opposition registered a greater number of attempts and more efforts on goal. The team has secured their last eight victories by a single goal. They’ve conceded in nearly all of those matches.

Regression to the mean might be the biggest rival Villa must confront as the season progresses. Their key man, surely, will not continue to thrashing his shots into the top corner forever.

A Case for Belief

Maybe there exists a different scenario where, instead of results trending towards performances, the level of play rises to match the results. Key players might still rediscover their best form.

• The main striker may begin to adding to his goal tally.
• Jadon Sancho might become the player he was during his peak.
• The defensive duo will eventually regain fitness, strengthening a sometimes shaky backline.

This could contain the possibility of a title challenge, but they surely can continue to depend solely on Morgan Rogers.

Enjoying the Ride

However, this is a surprise. It seemed improbable Aston Villa would occupy third at Christmas. And without a doubt back in October, nobody thought Rogers as the year closed would be spearheading a title charge while establishing himself as a crucial Three Lions star.

This remarkable period should be enjoyed precisely because it seems so surreal. When the hero positioned himself before the home supporters at the final whistle leading the celebrations, it was clear to be relishing every moment. Which he fully merits. These spells are rare in football and should be relished.